Friday, January 16, 2015

Population Growth Rate and Hindu Muslim Divide.

With the statement given by Sakshi Maharaj, that Hindu woman should give birth to four children, a new dimension to, BJP’s development agenda against fringe element’s / parent organisation’s cultural agenda on one end and Hindu Muslim divide on the other end has emerged.
While BJP (officially) says, we do not concur with the view and has given show cause notice to adamant MP. Congress says all are hand in glove and so on.
It is no secret that some element of BJP (including some new entrant in its fold) by emphasizing development agenda, wish to come out of RSS shadow and make BJP a PAN India party, RSS and its parivar, see (BJP rule) an opportunity to spread its /their own ideology and increase influence over society.  Aim of both is same but path is different.
To some extent both group are successful also, that is why, in 102th National Science Congress, many of non –scientific issues (including Make in India) were discussed.
If we do not subscribe to view of congress that all are hand in glove, there seems to be intense internal war going on between Govt. and RSS. And many of Modi’s admirer like economist Bahgawati has cautioned against RSS agenda. (Somewhere I have written and I always maintained whatever be the size of unit/ organisation, it will always will have 2 parts, each opposing other).
Any way my topic of today’s discussion is not about BJP-RSS but about Hindu Muslim.
Even though BJP has given show cause notice to MP, VHP has come out in support of Sakshi Maharaj, citing reason of demographic imbalance caused by one community (Muslim) having higher birth rate (than Hindus). To prove their point (rightfully), they quote Sachhar Committee report.
But unfortunately, while they quote population growth rate of Muslim as against Hindu, from report, they deliberately forget education, economic, job disparity between two communities noted in the report.
That gives rise to a new question, whether disparity between Hindu Muslim birth rate is due to religion factor or education/ economic factor.
To understand this /find answer, we must compare birth rate among similar educational-economic group of Hindu and Muslims (Compare first, birth rate based on education/ economic criterion and then further based on religion), and still we find Muslim birth  rate is higher than Hindu’s birth rate then only we can attribute it to religion factor. 
There is a wide spectrum of opinion with regard to Hindu Muslim relations.
a.       Muslims has got their own nation and they do not have any place in India. v/s
b.      Indian Muslims have shown faith in secular India, and they need all the protection /encouragement.
c.       During the app. 600 years of their rule , Muslims have destroyed Hindu culture and it is time to take revenge v/s
d.      While ruling in India (unlike Britishors ) they have mixed with/ settled in India and has given rise to what we call ganga- jamuna tehjib and that is soul of present day India and needs to be preserved at any cost and so on
On which side of spectrum you stand, one is labelled as secular/ communal-nationalist etc.
Whatever may be one’s view, it must be admitted that in our feudal system (where caste/society is given more importance /prominence) like India, where progress of individual / community depends on right connections with ruling class (not only in politics but, business industry and every walk of life), and in this respect Hindu (secular or otherwise) being ruling class Muslim (and earlier other Dalit Hindus) could not make progress based on Merit (in general Muslim ruling class opted for Pakistan, today if 2 youth both 10th pass, is interviewed for peon post , chance is Hindu youth will be selected over Muslim youth ).
As implied above, Muslims (who remained in/ opted India), were back ward class on the eve of Independence and benefit of any leadership and thus the gap between Muslim and other community widened over time.
 In this scenario there may be a deliberate thinking (other than economic, educational reasons), but I am not sure, in community to preserve identity by increasing proportionate population (overlooking what a small, but economic strong community can achieve- like Parsi).
But I still believe high birth rate among Muslims have roots in poverty and low education.
Solution to demographic imbalance can be found in decreasing Muslim birth rate by eliminating above causes (of high birth rate) and not increasing Hindus birth rate.
Prakash

16.01.15

Thursday, January 8, 2015

Selective Pages from Diary 2014-Maharshtra Elections Pre- Poll Scenario.


It is no surprise that both the alliances, Shiv Sena - BJP  and Congress-NCP has broken.

In changed scenario it was obvious and expected.

While Sena was expecting  ( from BJP) the  same respect and importance it enjoyed   when Balasaheb was alive and its regional priorities, marathi asmita,  stand on undivided maharashtra etc were in contrast with BJP's  increased pride after LS election, National Priorities ( like inclusive all India agenda at least on paper), separate Vidarbha etc.

and last but not the least BJP's aim to make itself  a whole pan India party  was making Sena uneasy.

This relationship of a National and Regional party was in contrast with relationship of Congress  and regional parties, where in for rule at the center, congress allowed regional parties to grow ( or to say when after Indira Gandhi , there were no regional leaders left in Congress, regional parties including ex -congress man grew in states) and also to indulge in corrupt practices. At one point  of time , DMK fought all assembly seats and congress fought loksabha elections.
( At one place some time back/ before , I had written siding with BJP regional parties are stacking their own existence, while with congress it is reverse ie Congress took high  wrong risk and wiped out itself in many states).

One more difference is , congress and its proxy regional parties , all are/ were dynastic parties and common goal was to protect own family interest.But BJP is  cadre based party and opposed to dynastic rule, this is one more reason for split in BJP-Shiv Sena.

{ One interesting observation - how, when and why congress moved away from mass movement and non-dynastic mode of pre-independence period to arm-chair , dynastic political party that led to its decline is a subject of political research, but I think

When you (organisation)  do not have money and power it tends to be non-dynastic and democratic, but once you have money and power dynastic ( or at least in case of BJP authoritarian   ) tendency sets in, (specially in Indian  feudal system). If this is true, down  the  history  line 50 years hence BJP may become dynastic party. Already many a second rung leader has come up showing this tendency. Examples are Mahajan, Munde and Sinhas.}.

Now about Congress-NCP split.

Reason for this break up can be said to be same or different. NCP was demanding  more from weak congress, Pawar was not ready to work with/ under Rahul.  Rahul was not ready to allow slip Maharadtra, the way UP Bihar slipped away from  the congress fold. Further,for free image , congress wanted to get rid of NCP and so on.

Ultimately in politics and also in real life there is no permanent friends or enemy.

Every Relationship ( like medicine) has expiry date, and it is useless and some time dangerous to use/ continue beyond that date.
Whose gamble has paid off will be  known only on 19th October. Now all focus is on Post Poll alliance.

Prakash  28.09/2014

Post Script:


As I said above now BJP is planning to undermine SAD party and spread wing in Punjab ( and other states also where it not in power). In Punjab it is taking issue of drug addiction to spoil image of SAD and its leaders. Even PM has taken up this issue in his Man Ki Bat.

9/01/15

Selective Pages from Diary 2014- NDA Government is 3 months old.

BJP- NDA govt. is now almost 3 months old. Those who were expecting (radical)change are disillusioned a lot . Govt. is facing challenges/ shortage of talent (politically) and Bills are not ready to be introduced in parliament.

Those who were expecting ( radical ) change also overlooked Indian parliamentary system and undermined the power of Rajya Sabha to block radical change. It always cross checks , sudden large change of power equation  which takes place in Lok Sabha with 1-2 % change in vote share of   political parties or due to alignment of political parties.

So even assuming BJP will win all state elections with good margin BJP -NDA will gain majority in RS only in 2017.Till then it has to go slow on legislation changes. ( Insurance BIll is stuck up).

Further, assuming BJP-NDA gets power to change, its own outfit like "Jagran Manch", KIsan Mazdoor Sangh etc has (already) started opposition on GM crops, land acquisition bill and labour reforms. Situation is same , like when in 2009, we expected that , now that UPA do not need support of left, things will move fast, but TMC took  upon itself role played by left in UPA1.Socially/ psychological , a group always creates its own opposition ( Sub group opposing majority), like if it is not Hindu Muslim Divide, in Muslim state ( Iraq- Syria) Shiya Sunni divide is there.

To some extent BJP in its eagerness to become pan India party, and replace congress is assuming /adopting role/ policy of Congress. Thus it does not wish to replace congress but wish to replace itself with congress being sole representation of masses. It wants to be congress 2.00 version and adopting all things/ policies advocated by Congress ( and opposed by BJP in election)  like AADHAR

It seems it has realized that it can not change India so to rule the India, ready to change itself.

The difference   in BJP- Congress ( as written earlier) is not over economic policies but in cultural/ education field. Its foreign policy also seems to be different and aims at containing/ encircling China.
It is also ( so far) different in internal democratic set up that is in line with democratic India.

Prakash 
10/08/14.

Post Scrip:
Ultimately Govt has decided to take ordinance route and ultimately, if need be joint session of both houses to push its economic agenda.
5/1/2015

Monday, January 5, 2015

Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Election Results.

Country is heralded in New Age. BJP got full majority.

In many ways this election was different from earlier ones.

In-spite of all the apprehension misapprehension it must be admitted people chose best  ( based on merit) among the contesting leaders and political parties.   

Strategy of BJP/Modi was based on 3 pillars.

1. Top funding from corporataes.
2. Best use of Media / Social Media.
3. RSS support on ground.

And there can be separate essay/ bloggs on each above.

During the election BJP/ Modi used every jibe against them to best of their own advantage. Best example is comment of Manishankar Aiyyar against Modi as "Tea Boy", which is converted as " Discussion on Tea". The appropriate questions like status of Modi's marriage and woman snooping were also converted by Modi to his own advantage.

However as I said it is not a victory of Opposition but defeat of  ruling party.

It is irony that the class which benefited most by Congress policies, voted against congress, when party tried to share economic benefit with down trodden by inclusive / entitlement policies. It shows fractured / insensitive nature of Indian Society.

What about those for whom congress made policies ?. Probably they also got lured by.  mobility of a class above them and hoped that under Modi they can move up or (congress )message did not reach them at all.

What about Congress Now ?. As I wrote earlier , for plight of today's congress , Indira Gandhi is to be blamed who destroyed state leaders and structures ( who used to carry message to the last man).

I think Rahul Gandhi will never be able to give leadership , who have a phobia of Power after, as a teenager, witnessing grandmother and father being murdered ( because of being in politics). This (phobia) has filled his core psyche.

What about Manamhan Singh ?
Should he be blamed for present state of affair of UPA/Congress or thanked for allowing UPA/Congress to have full 2 terms by having closed eyes and accepting personal insults. Any way  he was not  a politician and all political consequences of UPA/ Congress functioning be accepted as that of Soniya Gandhi.

What about Muslims ?. I feel there economic level will improve , but they will lose equality with Hindus.

Lastly , Was it   voting against congress or against coalition politics, but every analyst had thought coalition politics has become permanent nature of Indian Polity.

How wrong were they ?.

Prakash 26/05/14

Post Script.

Does strong ruling party good for country or absence of strong opposition will harm democracy.

Time for judgement has not yet come.

Kale
5/01/2015    


Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Parliament Election 2014.

 Parliament Election 2014.

Half the process is over.

While BJP was able to create atmosphere of non -performance and corruption against congress and create  a wave in favor of Modi ( by masking communal face/issue). Now non-BJP and Congress are lately trying ( successfully or otherwise) to move election as secular v/s Communal fight.( Majority Rule)

They may be right in doing so. As even staunch supporters of Modi , accepts there is danger of  authoritarian ( Hitler) element coming to power. Victory of BJP is likely to be celebrated like India belongs to Hindu.

But they  ( like Arun Shouri)  say modi should be preferred based on performance and not to be opposed based on prejudice. Modi may be Hitler, but India is not Germany and can ( and have dealt in past- Indira Gandhi in 1977) deal with such persons and situations.

Arun Shouri also  rightly say Indian psyche prefers  strong leaders against democratic leaders. That is why Indira Gandhi is preferred over Manamohan Singh inspite of damages caused by first and progress achieved under second.

Modi may be modified Modi and may like to take India on path of progress but the persons  and institutions( like RSS) who are advocating Modi and making all out efforts to make him successful ( first time after 1977), may force him to take other course.

Tragedy is that parties who are opposing BJP/ Modi on basis of communal-ism has lost credibility (congress) and voter may not  listen their caution.

Where are we heading, Giriraj ( in Bihar) says those who are opposing Modi can ( and will have to) go to Pakistan, and Azam Khan is opposing EC because he feels this posture benefits him.

If all this is not election rheoertic   ( and is real feeling) we are heading toward situation like 1930-40 which resulted in partition of India.

What is hope , as Arun Shouri says ( I hope), Indian institutions like SC, Military and lastly people can deal with and will overcome it. But that is when if Modi comes to power. Before that, is there any hope from voter to avoid such situation ?

My hope is based  on Muslims, Dalit and Dravidan population who are outside RSS influence. Regional parties are also  give hopes, who would like to stop Modi ( Pre Election/Post Election) to save their fiefdom. AAP can also do magic , with voter who are sick of secular/communal  discourse and likely to vote for anti corruption.

Now it is less than 4 weeks , where Indian polity will unfold new chapter. 

I pray   this should be peaceful.
Prakash 
20/04/2014

In the hind sight it is felt that many of the observation made were correct, people sick of coalition politics and weak congress leadership gave  BJP  and   Modi a absolute majority.
As apprehended communal issues are being raised but fortunately Modi has kept controll over them and focusing on Developmental issues ( at least publically)
Kale 
5/01/15

Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Arvind Kejriwal and Dehli Election.

With  the rise of AAP party, Indian democracy has reached new milestone.

As I had written earlier , Anna's movement was unique in the sense that it challenged the supremacy of elected representative and called  them agent while public is deemed Principal. This was a movement which never demanded any thing from the King ( ruling class), but challenged it. And many a times government's move were no match  to Kejriwal's move and arguments.

It is unfortunate that Annna and Kejriwal parted way. If Kejriwal succeeded in Dehli, it was because of Anna. And if Anna could get  Lokpal Bill   passed (and others likely to be passed), it was because of Kejriwal's political success that made it possible. In absence of political fear, Anna's fast/ agitation, past or future had no impact on political class, who understand language of election only.

What was/is strategy of AAP, in forming the Govt. and congress and BJP allowing it to form the govt. Definitely AAP wanted to demonstrate that it does not shrink responsibility and can give alternative to BJP/Congress ( in the long run). While BJP/Congress , wanted to show that running Govt. is not easy and they expected that in next 3-4 months,  people will be disillusioned with AAP party and in parliament election effect will be nullified.

Apart from Anna what was the reason/ effect of AAP success. 20 years back, with the rise of Mulaymasingh, Lalu Prasad etc. (of backward classes) backward class started taking power in their own hand instead of being ruled by upper class. ( In south this phenomenon is over 40-50 years back).  

Similarly due to liberalization, urbanization and attaining critical mass. Indian middle class now wants power in its own hand ( Or it has realized power of its own vote.)   or expect govt. policies to be oriented or beneficial to them.

Presently due to Money Power and Vote Power , policies are simultaneously pro-rich ( 2G/ Coal Block) and pro poor(Food Security etc.). And middle class do not figure any where in ruling class's frame of mind, and this is going to change. Due to AAP effect  many a non-political/ organisation will get attracted to politics. And how it will affect politics and democracy. Whether new parliament reflect correct representation of Indian population by economic class ?Whether , ultimately political class will become pro-urban and pro middle class ( instead of present pro rich and pro poor)?

Only future will tell, else we have seen JP Movement and VP Singh Movement without much change in politics itself. 

So far Power Corrupts ( Corrupted) everyone.  The movement against Chiman Bhai Patel Gujarat , ultimately gave political support to Chiman Bhai Patel. What Mr. Fernadese demanded as Union leader and did railway strike, could not give /fulfill as Railway Minister. Kejriwal claimed he is having proof against Sheela Dixit , now claims if BJP has proof give it I will make enquirer.


Parody and Tragedy started to emerge now, whole AAP force was against congress corruption and now they are in power with congress support and are silent on congress corruption. Congress also welcomes AAP success to neutralize BJP.

Prakash 11/01/14.


In hind sight it is seen BJP could analyse secret of success of AAP, and focused on aspiration-al India rather than entitlement seeking India. Further, allowing to form govt and not allowing to work has ultimately benefited 2 national parties, Who will be benefited in forthcoming election ?
Prakash 5/01/15.


Saturday, October 22, 2011

Anna Hazare

What is unique contribution of of Anna Hazare and its team to Indian Polity and Society.
First, this is the first movement in free India that has no demand of its own interest group that is clashing with establishment. It has, so far declared that it has no intention to topple the estblishment or get hold of establishment.
So far all movements were like lower entity demanding some thing from bigger entity. But Anna Hazare is saying we (people ) are supreme and Parliament or elected member being our agent must fulfill our order or wishes. It is challanging supremacy of Parliament. This is new concept and have far reaching cosequences.
Another uniqueness is that tactically or intellectully Anna's team seems to be more competent then Manmohan's team. Reason may be due to structural differences of two teams and role they have to play. Team Anna can /could demand and say anything but in response team Manmohan had to respond keeping in mind all provisions of constitution (and more so demand of vested interst groups).
Whether he is right or their demand that only his Janlokpal Bill ,as it is , be passed in Parliament are just or not are debatable. But this has to be seen or judged in the context that, we are asking politiation as a group to commit sucide (to do some thing that is against their own vested interest) and so their delaying and diluting techniques. How far Anna will suceed ?. Only future can tell.
Can movement of Anna sustain momentum ?. It is big question. It require fund and mass support. To do this, how many honest person are available and willing to contrubute their time and money.
But one thing clear Anna has high risk taking capacity. Without entering in to election poltics his team , to some extent has affected election in Hissar. It has hit hard the political Party where it hurts most, defeat in election.
As over the years Indian Politics has shifted from caste and religion plolitics to development politics. If Anna's movement can show that clean politics is possible then it can be said Anna succeesed where Mahatama Gandhi failed.
Last but not the least how far, absence of Sonia Gandhi (at critical juncture) contrubuted to success of Movement. Can not say but there was clear lack of direction in Govt team. Further it exposed Rahul Gandhi , and established that he is still not capable of shuoldering higher responsibility.


II writing.
Standing Committee report is out. As expected, team Anna is not satisfied and threatened to restart agitation including fast by Anna.
There could be many justification for not accepting team Annas's Jan Lokpal Bill, but making it Constitutional Body ( I am not going in to merit of suggestion) at the mere suggestion made by Rahul Gandhi, proves my point that we are having fuedal democracy.
Similarly, not giving investigation power to Lokpal makes it very weak and shows vested interest of all politician. As regards C AND D GRADE employee (some one claims after 6th pay commission there are no D CLASS employees), team anna and govt. both have their own strong and valid point. (Team anna -to have effect on common man they must be included. Govt-it will need big machinery).
However, with lokpal being made constitutional body, the model of Election Commission can be adopted( its own core team is very small, but for election purpose all buerocracy works under it and its direction are supreme) and for corruption related issues it's directive must be final ( and so burden of courts regarding corruption be reduced).
Let us see how things unfolds.



But one thing sure Manmohan singh is losing out a opportunity to become a histoirical statesman.Similarly, most of politiation/ parties, instead of further reaching out to people (not restricted to team Anna) to market their own idea of Lokpal, basking in the ego of being elected representatives and knows all attitude. This can be termed as "Democratic Tanashai". Team anna is challanging this attitude also and wants consulatation in between election also. How to ensure this in a contry of billion peopple is a billion dollar question.


Like independent struggle where it all started with submitting memorandem to Govt. and spread over a century, does anna should also accept gradual improvement and continue his struggle ?. Surly, people's awareness, election reform police reform and judicial reforms are linked together with lokpal.

17/12/2011.

Anna Hazare Continued to make goal against Govt. Now they have almost won the full opposition.

On 11/12/11 really there was "loksabha" in presence of Anna hazare political leaders expressed their views on Lokpal.

I can sypmpethise with PM and Govt. about their problem. When he does/ utters some thing and if it fails (his remarks on FDI in a Youth Congress meet), peopole says he should not have spoken his mind, but every one wants him to frrely speak on Lokpal or any other issues.

As written else where, peopple take positions depending on their own perspective. Parties which are likely to come under power like to have CBI under GOvt. controll and others want CBI independent. BSP, SP etc want reservation under Lokpal and so on.

Most importantly as written else where a few years back, that any social /political/ legal change has unexpected side effect.

Now it is being murmured that when Sonia Gandhi, gave up the post of PM and created NAC and became its chair person supercabinet and super prime minister was created, it undermined the supremacy of Parliamnet and sown the seed of Civil Socity.

Drafting bills by NAC gave idea for civil Socity to draft bill. If NAC can do it why not Civil Socity.

No one can refute their argument. And they got legitimacy.

Similarly if intention was to promote Rahul Gandhi, its exposure shown that he is not yet ready to play pan India leadership.
5/08/12
Now almost one year is over of Anna's movement. While in the beginning congress and whole political class seems to be unprepared to face Team Anna, over a period all politician came together in self interest and prepared proper defense against Anna's onslaught.
So, this time no one cared for anna's fast and  it had to be broken without any promise from govt. or political class. Surely they decided to form a political party.
I my self doubt its success in a country of over a billion people ( There is no previous history of successful political party by non political person/ group). Even if it is able to change functioning of other political  parties-internal democracy, fund collection and candidate selection - by competitive or demonstrative effect it would have proved its utility for Indian democracy.
For candidate selection, it can adopt american model of deciding candidate by political parties.
Presently, reactions over their decision to form political party are of every hue and color- from the one end of "we were knowing it" to "Anna has broken sanctity of   fast and movement", depending on where you stand. 
29/09/12.
As apprehended, and like earlier occasion Anna's movement broke in to different part, each group having its own agenda/ vision. In fact all factions had come together with intent to gain  for themselves in the process. But they could not stick together as fruits of movement were not coming/ visible. Elsewhere/ earlier I had written, we can not expect this movement to bring sudden change but has to move forward like our independent struggle. This phase may seen as 1857 revolt or division of congress in Naram /garam group.
Ultimately it must be remembered any system - good /bad  - is in equilibrium stage of different stake holders of society. If you want to change that equilibrium, you need sufficient force to get new equilibrium. Same is true for corrupt society and corrupt free society.
Anna or/and kejriwal has to generate sufficient force to find new equilibrium.

Whether they succeed further or not only history will tell, but their contribution in  making Indian polity from feudal to democratic will always be remembered.

Corruption is small problem  (by product) compared to feudal mind setup, where Rahul Gandhi seems to be heir apparent in congress and  in absence of such feudal set up BJP is not able to decide its future leader.

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Fuedal Democracy and State being agregate of Socity

There is always criticism regarding negatives of Indian Democracy, though we always pride ourselves being the largest functional democracy. Similarly, we always criticize the public and public servant being more loyal to group to which they belong rather than to state / nation (India).
(Presently we care much about rules, regulation and expectation of our own clan/ group rather than rules regulation and expectation of state).

Situation in this regard is so bad that any body doing there ordinary duty is given medals.

There is also comparison of our system with USA's. Latest being, regarding USA's commitment after 9/11 terrorist attack and its success in not allowing second attack in last 10 years. Killing Bin Laden and so on. Compare it with our dismal record. This is not the first time, USA has resolved some thing and achieved it. Way back in sixties when USSR went ahead of USA in putting man in space, USA resolved to land man on Moon ahead of USSR and fulfilled that commitment  Against this, very few may be remembering Indian Parliaments's resolve to get back every inch of land from China that remained unfulfilled for last 50 years.

This difference is due to the way India and USA are created. India as a Nation/ democracy was created as super imposition on feudal society. For India, democracy and nation are new concept, and are yet to take firm roots. Against this, those who created USA had no baggage of 3000-4000 year history, and it is aggregate of people are those  who had left their roots in achieving their own dreams.

We can write a book, on what we meant by feudal system. But here it is sufficient to identify it as having two distinct class of ruled and ruler class. Ruler class has one mentality and ruled class has another one.

So, so far whatever movement/ protest were held in India, they were essentially a demand from ruled class to ruler class. They never challenged the position of ruler class.

And in this aspect, Anna Hazare's movement is departure from past, where in it was emphasised that in democracy ruler in fact is agent of ruled class. Principal is ruled class.

If this perception percolated in masses there will be real change and that will be real democracy.
In another aspect also this movement was/ is unique, so far all protest movement were/ are being held to preserve / strengthen there own clan/ society's position visa-vis other group or nation. This is the first movement that was actually aimed at not getting any benefit for any single group but was aimed at eradicating something wrong with the nation.
This concept also if percolated in masses can change India. This will loosen the hold of clan/ society over individual's mind and allow them to serve and behave like a citizen of India rather than member of a group.

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Nature's Horizontl and Circular Differentiation -Man's Vertical and Linear Enequality

To be frankly speaking though the idea for this post is ready, details are very much at nascent stage and much clarity of thought and material is yet to be developed. The central idea is that all things in nature are different, no two things are similar yet they are at same horizontal plane, are equal and exhibit harmony. On the other hand man made system are hierarchy based, vertical and linear. They are based on unequality though many social reformer unsuccessfully trying to make everything equal- which is against the law of nature.
To illustarte nature's law-in this context- I remember 2 stories that I read in child hood. First , one Rat wishing to become big and stronger- ask boon from a Rishi and in turn, changes form, from rain, air, mountain to become more and more stronger but ultimately again becomes Rat in final pursit of becoming strongest. That is cyclical transformation to reach at original point. Second one also relates to Rat. One day when lion got hold of Rat, it prays to make him free and promises to help lion in case of need. Though lion did not feel that he will need any help from Rat, he sets Rat free. However, one day Lion was caught in a Net, Rat frees him by cutting the Net. Lesson -as per nature all are different but equal and of same importance.
Important thing is that, Nature does not follow rule of similarity. Yet, in its scheme of differentiation nothing is more important and nothing is frivolous. No system is follower and no one is leader. Nothing is big and nothing is small. Every one is dependent on another and every thing is interdependent. Arrangement is horizontal and circular.
Take the example of seasons- summer, rainy and winter ( these three are taken as these are well known to common folk). For nature every season is important, every season's intensity is dependent on previous season. We can not say which season is first and which one is last. And so on.
Against this back drop- where nature follows differntiation- take man made system. Though, every utopian philosopher propagates message of equality. Yet all man made system's are based on inequality and here differences are vertical and linear. It means two ends of system do not meet i.e. top does not meet bottom. Here the person or value (it can be culture or any thing) looks down with contempt the person or value below it and at the same time aspire to become part of system above it. Mumbaikar looks down UP /Bihari - they wants to settle in Mumbai. While Mumbaikar want to settle in USA. The same can be said about caste system. Though presently in the days of reservation and concession- reverse aspiration is also there.
Another example. The king and common man (ruler and its subject) and in between so many layers. Arrangement is vertical and not circular. King does not meet common man. King commands more respect etc. etc and so on. Though from nature's point of view differentiation has to be there and some one has to labour and some one has to organise ( All can not organise and all can not labour). This vertical inequality creates friction.
What is natural- nature's differentiation or man's Utopian attempt to make all man ( and other things) equal. There is vast difference between different people with regard to education level etc. Educationist lament that only 10-15 % of school children enroll in college. If all enroll in college what will happen ?. If all become engineer who will be mechanic. Let us assume with the invention on mobile phone one fine morning every land line phone is discarded and thrown in sea. What a waste of resourcess it will be.With the invention of Rayon, if every one stops using cotton cloth. Its manufacture and use vanishes in thin air. But down the years disadvntage of Rayon surfaces but now cotton cloths are not available. If 15 year old Taxis baned in metros are not used in tier 2 -3 cities , what will be wastage.
If some new concept-thought-technology does not pass through cycle of -theory-reaserch-laboratory-prototype-introduction in small market-mass use-decline -vanish ( This cycle is not restricted to material manufactiring-but apply to every system- be it law-social custom and so on), any wrong untested concept can desroy the human being.
Thus we find concept -that every person, law, technology should be equal is unsustainable uneconomical and impractical. In Political Scince USSR's falure is a example.It will completly eliminate chance of economic use of resources and concept of recycle.What I am trying to explain is that differntiation in values, lifestyle, economic system, political system and every where are natural. They can not be wished away. 50 years back population used to be differentiated based on whether they are having electric connection or not. Today it is based on DTH connection or any other criterion. Earlier we used to lament so many are not going to school today we lament that so many students after finishing school are not going to college. Or as Per Mr. Nilkeni, in 60-70s, deprivation/differentiation and state's effort was to provide masses "Roti -Kapada-Makan", in 90s focus shifted to "Bijali -Sadak-Pani" and presnetly or near future it will be "UID-Bank Account-Mobile".My point is that in human system different layers will always be there. In fact value of many possession is valued by elites because it is not available to masses. They lose value once they are available to masses.
This wrting can go on end less. No Culture or Reformer can abolish this differences. Further we need not feel guilty or be apoligitic for this differences. No one but Rahul Gandhi directly can become PM of Country. Only Mr. Parekh's son can mobilise 750/- cr. in private placement in new company. All we can learn from nature is that no one should steal space or right of others. A metro citizen neither should try to make tribal like him nor feel superior to him nor encroach upon his rights. A owner need not feel guilty for better living as compared to his employee. Only it should be ensured that your wealth is not at the expense or cost of employee. This will ensure harmony and co-existence.
Further higher stage is to connect with the lowest rung of hierchy. It can be by CEO with peon. PM with common man. and so on. There is proverb. Ultimate of Ruling the masses is to serve them.
Lesson from this discussion- at Micro level we need not feel unsatisfied or proud on our position in hierchy. At macro level our culture should allow coexistence of all system as well as mobility from one layer to another one withiout resistance.

Sunday, April 25, 2010

From the end of Book Cover.

These notings are from my different books, which I read during 1977-82 for my studies. What I understood of that subject was noted at the end of Book. Many books and notings are lost, but a few notings are torn and kept with me.
The same are reproduced here.
History.
History reveals that every system while growing accumulates seeds of destruction. It may be due to the fact that "All pervasive social system, which can accommodate all natural laws , instincts & desires, is yet a dream". And so system gives us means to live present only. When future turns to present , new system must come up to fulfill the need of new present.
That is why in spite of different characters of different Viceroys, British History can be summed up under one sentence, " (Alternate)Waves for expansion/ consolidation, forward/ neutral policies, one following the other.

This explains why Gandhi , a true orientalist was succeeded by Neharu a Westernised by any standard.

Prakash
2/11/80.

Economic Theory.
You can criticise any organisation ( for economic help) from top World Bank to lowest Primary Co-operative Socity that
1. Its resources are inadequate against need ( As study of economics is study of scarcity of resourecs).
2. Its resourecs are not used properly ( As there will be never unanimous view among different interest groups ,seeking help, on priority). Semueston on difficulty of "proper signal of purpose by socity" in public ependiture.
3. Its benefit were largly cornerened by big units or by those who had already big resources at possession and small needy are by passed. Small and big can be defined , in different context. For Primary socity , small can be land less labourer and big land lord. For World Bank, small is a African Country and big/ resorceful a European country.
As always, small are either not fully aware of opportunity or unable to match required supplemental points for using resources of organisation, while big has both positive points.
Prakash
24/10/1981
Indian Economy
To be brief, Indian economics should / must follow following lines in that order for next 20 years
1. Making agriculture a commercial & perenial activity. ( Absorbing a large no. of disguiesd unemployement).
2. Creating non-agriculture oppertunities at village level. (Absorbing surplus labour from agriculture)
3. Starting consumer industries (To cater the demand arising out of point 1 & 2)
4. Erecting capital & basic industries (To make point 1,2 & 3 possible)
Any other course or change in order of points will be counter productive and will and to our difficulties).
Prakash
27/01/1981.
(After 20 years we see result of not following above lines. Share of Ag. in GDP is down, but percentage of persons dependent on Ag has not gone down, resulting in widening gap between Bharat and India including sucide by farmers.
Prakash
27/04/2010).
Scince and Technology.
Average indian is disillusioned with Scince & Technology and what relevence ( or benefit) it has with (given to) society.
While discussing the relevance of Scince we forget that there is nothing like relevence in Scince: In scince , and many useful scintific discovery/ invention were not sought (like X Rays) or there importance was not relised at the time of dicovery ( relativity).
Of course "relevent" is relevent in case of technology and technology being connected with industry (industry to profit and profit to society) , it can never be irrelevent.
When we blame S & T for some of our problem, like getting "wrong phone number", we acccuse in wrong direction, such problems are managerial not technological.
Prakash
6/02/81.
Pyschology
I am indebted to this Book for clearly differentiating Love ( an act of belonging), sex (biological want) and marriage (social bondage out of security need).
It has helped me in not mixing love-sex or love -marriege concept, which socially seems one and the same . Concepts in separable.
Prakash
6/02/81.
Civics/ Politics/ Constitution.
This writing was done on a book of Constitution but no longer available with me in origin. The same is reproduced by memory and some updates are also given.
India, as republic (people are rular) is new concept for us. We are feudal by mind set where rular is rular and people are subjects.
So many powerful CMs( in syndicate) selects weak PM Indira Gandhi. This weak PM defeats official candidate of her own party and gets elected V V Giri as president. Later many CMs are appointed by High Command. Circle/ Cycle is complete. At one stage "Indira is India and India is Indira" a slogan give by Barua reflects the reality of time.
Further, though there is no provision of changing state govts. on Parliament elections but, Janata Party as well as Congress both did this unconstitutional thing in the name of public wish.
So our set is feudal under the banner of republic.
Some time in 1980-81.
Up dates.
Realising the decreasing controll over memebrs , anti defection bill is brought in by parties to increase the controll. But result is opposite of what was intended. Every ambitious leader floated his own party, and with his / her 1-2-3 memebrs in parliament forces big parties (congress/BJP)to bend on kness /backward . It is given a good name Coalation Dharma. PM has no controll over minister collegue. There is no collective responsibility, every minister takes position according to his/her own party line.
Some one opposes Sonia Gandhi as PM on ground of foreign origin. She makes great sacrfice, declines PMship, but creates National Advisory Council, becomes its chair person a super cabinet and super Prime Minister. All power with no accountability.
All this was common in politics and so while releasing Anderson (of uninon carbide) Arjun Singh's Trust receives donation is no news.
But it seems last hope of republic is also crumbling and a perception is growing that SC Chief Justice might have been influnced by future prospects ( Becoming a Chief trustee to a Trust for Bhopal Gas Victims) while prouncncing verdict on cases related to Bhopal Gas Tragdy.
This difference, what is written what is realty is not restricted to politics, but a realty of every organisation. To survive and prosper you must know , accept and adjust to this. Else only frustration and delusion is your fate. You may get Megassy Award, but you are unfit as Delhi Police Chief. You must resign.
Prakash
15/06/10

Thursday, April 1, 2010

Communication.

Every communication does have/must have purpose. It need not be and most of the time it is not true. Communication is always made, taking in to account the target group-may be audience , viewer or reader based on form of communication.

Fame of communication depends on its effectiveness on target rather than its intrinsic truth fullness. In this sense "Geeta" had (has) a objective to prepare Arjuna (common man) for War(life).What is said in Geeta may or may not be true, but its greatness rest on the fact that it changed the mind of Arjuna and effectively changes mind of many many of modern Arjuna. The same can be said about advice of parent to children, scolding of superior to junior and astrologer's predictions. Stated word need not be true but they intend to have desired effect.

If we wish to observe how the communication is based on targeted group, just read the Mumbai News papers in Marathi, Hindi and English, there comments on marathi/ non-marathi issue is meant for there own readers and obviously different. In Mumbai no one dare say that how is that Mumbikar going to USA help built economy there, but Bihari coming to Mumbai destroys Mumbai, as there is no audience for this communication / logic in city. In this sence even celebrities comments are also based on there own target group. The marathi celebrities, which are not dependent on marathi population for their greatness/fame, speak in favour of Mumbai for all. These are Sachin Tendulakar, Asha Bhosle etc. In sixties and seventies, our leaders while addressing Indian population used to tell control population and said development will follow. The same leaders while seeking development assistance at international forum used to say, please donate and help, development will control population. The different position taken by experts ( coming from urban-middle class and addressing their own group) in TV talks on LPG subsidy as against fertilizer subsidy is worth watching.
The position taken by different group/ country to resolve issue can reflect their own position as compared to opponent party. India( strong) states that all issues with Pakistan be resolved with bilateral talks only, while till recently India (weak) took position that to resolve issues with USA talks must be held at international forum. With India's position improving, only recently India has started engaging USA and other strong countries bilaterally. Domestically for the same reason on Ram Mandir issue, Muslim is ready to accept Court verdict while Hindu says it is question of faith and can not be decided by court.
Another form of communication is awards and honours (basically these are reactions) and reaction to other person's qualities. Every individual/ group judges others and makes comment based on own expectations, profit and loss etc. After India opened market for foreigners in 1991 onwards, I observed sudden increase in number of Indian girls winning miss world/ miss universe awards and so on, in short span of 5-6 years.( prior to this probably in 40 years there was only one winner. To say correctly, A Roy became second miss world after a gap of 28 years, and thereafter in seven years we saw four winners ). One reason may be world cosmetic industry's eagerness to enter Indian market and promote there own product by focusing health and buety. Similarly, without undermining the qualities of Manmohan Singh, the honour praise etc received by him is mostly coming from the advocates of free enterprise. These advocates may be capitalist countries or our own chamber of commerce etc, who are benefited by his policies.
Still more dangerous communication is in the form of what is good and what is bad.These are used to modify behaviour of person for the so called good of society. It is in the form of, glorifying the acts that are, against human nature, and what human being will generally hesitate to act upon. In old days worshiping "Sati" comes under this category. Dying for nation is called "Martyrdom". Taking oath of celibacy "Diksha or Nun ship" at early age is similarly glorified in every religion. Saving the "Girl Child" is good. same is with, honouring the highest tax payer. Example can be multiplied in hundreds. What is not noticed by common man is that these good things are not followed by the preachers of these good things. Thus no one from rich/leader family goes for martyrdom or accepting celibacy. All these are reserved for poor and uneducated persons.
There are communication for which there is no proof but there is no opposition for these communication in the group. Thus all human, believe, human life is most valuable and higher form of life (Hindus feel it is due to Punya karma and very rare). But the way humans are easily replicating and others are becoming rare (like panda or Tiger), we may have to revise our opinion. Also, it has side effect of looking down other form of life and generated ego which is destroying other form of life. If we could say all form of life are equal and needs in /by nature, we may have different attitude. Our Prime Minister proclaims that world is appreceating India's growth but apprehends/ fears China's growth (any basis or independent voting ? NO.) Similarly, all Indians are unanimous that Indian Culture and Tradition is great( Though it has so many short comings, which can be subject matter of separate blogg).
One more form of communication is made on fallacy of logic. It is like saying "Sun rises in the sky" , but fact is sun neither rises nor sets. Now a days most common is "Save the Earth". The fact is that earth is not in any way affected by 1-2 degree rise and fall of temperature, (it has survived more severe variation in temperatures) what will be affected is human life, so slogan should be "Save ourselves". Similarly many a times philosopher/ writer propagate new theories to advance there own cause. For example, when Samarth Ramdas started preaching/ writing in Prakrit Marathi, he said "Knowledge is Knowledge ", it should be accepted in any language.
Last but not the least, who speak truth and who communicate lie. It is geenrally believed or said that common people speak lie, and higher authority speak truth. But this is far from truth. The fact is that higher the desire to have communication intended effect higher is the chance of communication being lie. All advertiseemnts come in to this category and we do not take them on face value. But what about state communications. While preparing for War against Iraq, USA propagated Iraq possesing "Arms of Mass Destruction" (an utter delibrate lie ). Hitler proclaiming Aryana pure human being. When Gandhi was muredered and idnetity of murderer was not known, even then Nehru communicted that he is "Non Muslim" just to avert communal vilonce.
History is littered with such false communications which changed the course of History.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

world is in danger.

Now and then , I hear and read that world is in danger. Now a days, most vocal warning is about Global Warming (The fact is if earth had not warmed earlier, we would not have come in to existence). Thirty year back it is was Ozone hole in sky or before that danger of nuclear war. We must take note that causes of dooms are changing, it means we are progressing ( To jump from one problem to next is progress).
Another thing these warning etc presume /procalims that humans has become more powerfull then mother nature or natural laws.This I strongly dispute. Inspite of all progress human beings have made, we are stiil struggling to protect ourselves from nature only. This nature has billions of years history and our known history is merely 5000-6000 year old. What ever changes we are recording are just 200-300 year's study or record. Many of these observations are merely 40-50 year old. We do not know for sure, whether there are changes , and if changes are there, they are due to human activity or nature's cyclic change.
It is our only ego to say that we are causing change.

However, I do not belittle the sincerity of the people who care about this country or planet. Nor I do underestimate the message for improvement given by all stakeholders, be it, parents, schools, newspaper, TV, Govt, NGO and so on to save earth.

But taking them seriously can harm your own life and can take away joy out of your life. First thing we should remember, whatever prophets of doom are saying, they are saying for so many centuries and always do not prove correct. In fact no body can predict future of a country or society beyond 5 years. For example, my generation took population explosion seriously and limited family to one child, depriving the child of natural company. And down 30 years, we are hearing population dividend for India.

In fact all predictions assume / have fault logic in 2 way. One , if such and such thing continue, this or that will happen and second their mind comprehends presently available solutions only. Rememebr, nature is always changing and human mind is not able to understand/ imagine what has not happened yet or mind has not experienced it. The best example of this is, when we search life beyond earth, always we link it with availability of water and oxygen. Is it not possible that there may be other life system which may be surviving and growing on any other natural element. Another, just 50 year back who would have thought that intrenet will change the way we communicate or socialise.

So, what is happening today will change tomorrow, and new things will come in to being, not only because of science but because of changing perceptions, laws, religion, politics and economics etc.
To give one small example, take the so called perishable nature of petro products, and the so called shortage of alternative energy sources. It is not that, they are not available. They are readily available, but presently at higher price then petro products. As per economic law, if supply of petro products goes down, prices will go up, and alternate sources will come in to use.
Further, 100 years back also, Mumbaikar must have been crying about heavy population influx, life becoming miserable and so on, but high rise apartments, fly overs etc (not thought over 100 years back) have been built, to accommodate ever increasing population pressure. Fact is that, the day Mumbai will have more problem as compared to opportunity, people will move and settle to any other city.
There is tendency to oppose new development by raising false alarems, which some time seems ridiculous after a gap of generation. That is why when X -ray was dicivered, people thought, it will encroach on privacy of people and encourage porn/ nudity. Similary, when Hydroelectic power came in to existence, media spread/ people believed that after passing through turbines, energy / potency of water is passed / changed to electric power, and such water is useless/ dangerous.

The fact is that continents and kingdoms might have prospered and perished but the history of human being is a smooth history of progress, starting from discovery of fire and wheel to present day space missions. Every generation has faced problems and solved them in their own way. Today, we may complain about shortage of food but copmare it with famines of ninteenth century. Further we may see enequality among different groups but, slave system is no more. Such examples of progress in every walk of life is many many.

Lastly, and most important , as compared to life of nation and society, our own life is very-very short,(and every phase of life comes only once) and for world's imagined problem/ danger or real problems, for which solutions will emerge in course of time , do not waste your life or destroy joy.

Be Happy, Live your life, Act responsibly but do not worry.

Development v/s Nature.

All present day debate about development v/c nature is non- sense and pure noise only. When some one says world is changing for the worst, it only mean, it is changing in such a way that it is adversely affecting his vested interest (in status quo situation). If you are benefitted by change, the development is progress, if you are aversly affected it is destroying nature.
Some one says development should not be against nature. I ask, can development and nature go together. Nature means, things available to all, development means the man made things which can be used for a price (even for free road we have to pay tax to govt.).
Some one says development should not destroy/ change culture. Is it possible ?. In absence of economic activity in rainy season (not connected with town and alternate economic activity), a village does have culture and tradition of religious functions. Or when milk / perishable vegetable can not be sent to market, there is tradition or culture of free distribution. If a road is made and village is connected to town and round the year economic activity is possible, will it be possible to continue old tradition with same faith ? Definitely no. Same is true about, man and woman relations. With education, economic independence and control over birth process being available to woman now, is it possible to continue traditional power equilibrium between male and female.
The fact is that every system be it political, social, ethics, economics, science and so on, affects and get affected by other system. Development in any one system afects other.For example, Social system affects political system, science affects ethics and so on. No system is independent.
Further what is being changed, may not be correct or good in first place. What we call History, is just narration of victorious party, it need not be and generally not true. The present laws, are compromise between different groups at point of making law (highest one being constitution of country), it need not be ethical or just (Parliament / Assemblies have passed laws for reservation for woman in local bodies but not able to implement for themselves). Same can be said of other branches of knowledge. Further every system develops side effects which generates alternate process/ system and destroys old one.
Just think, in a debate over nature against development, had man not destroyed forest and developed the agriculture. If some one had banned paper manufacturing to save forest. Some one might not have cleared forest and made road (Grand Trunk Road, built by Sher Shah Suri, what feeling it evokes, pride of development or shame of nature's destruction ?). Had our forefathers chosen nature against development, what would have been our life today ?.
In this debate some one talks about sustainable development. Limit no one knows ?. Simple yardstick is, What development took place, up to my generation is sustainable but what my next generation is doing/ developing is not sustainable. That is why , Petrol wells are OK but mining at Poles is not.
This all, we decide purely on adhoc basis to suit our own convenience. There is law to punish, even if you cut one green tree of your back yard. But enviromental clearence is possible for building Roads in Himalaya. Logic is , it is defence needs. China has built Air port at the base of Himalaya. Can you now stop other development that will follow.
What is effect of our development activity over nature (negative) and conserving activity for nature (positive) ?. We measure air and water quality of city and interpolate it for whole earth, and say whole nature is being polluted or destroyed. We clean some ponds and say we saved nature. Compare it with the devasting nature of nature in form of Tsunami, Earth Quack and Volcano etc, (latest being eruption of Volacano in Iceland , distrupting Air Traffic in Europe). Similarly, if we just calculate the cleaning power of Solar Energy (This is the mother of all energy sources), through regeneration of biosphere, vaporisation of water and raining ,I wonder whether any day man can pollute the earth that much or his cleaning effort will ever match with nature's cleaning power.
If our effort is to have so little effect either way, why so much noise ?. Remember, every communication has purpose, but it may not be true. Same may be said about communications for and against development. There is marketing efforts of companies that are benefitted by the fear generated through destruction of nature. Developed world says, we have polluted world but developing world should not pollute the world. Developing world says enough of your pollution, now you stop and it is our turn now. Both exegarate damage being done by development, just to stop other party and debate and negotiations goes on just to protect or improve own positions.
To be philosophical and believe Geeta " What we are able to create ?. What we are able to destroy?. Absolutely nothing. We, at the most changing the form of things.Today we are not able to use some changed material but it does not mean it has lost its intrinsic value or utility. Remember, to days coal was nothing but compressed/ destroyed forest, deep buried millions of years back. Just like that, to days waste will also be used in some form in future.
To conclude, nature is too powerful to be destroyed by our development. Development will only bring changes in our different systems.
So, Do not worry and be happy.
It does not mean that we should behave irresponsibly, and stop cleaning rivers, planting trees etc. These are essential to protect or improve our local environment and reduce cost of living for ourselves, but to link it with big concepts like saving of earth etc. is ego of man only.