Friday, January 16, 2015
Population Growth Rate and Hindu Muslim Divide.
Thursday, January 8, 2015
Selective Pages from Diary 2014-Maharshtra Elections Pre- Poll Scenario.
It is no surprise that both the alliances, Shiv Sena - BJP and Congress-NCP has broken.
In changed scenario it was obvious and expected.
While Sena was expecting ( from BJP) the same respect and importance it enjoyed when Balasaheb was alive and its regional priorities, marathi asmita, stand on undivided maharashtra etc were in contrast with BJP's increased pride after LS election, National Priorities ( like inclusive all India agenda at least on paper), separate Vidarbha etc.
and last but not the least BJP's aim to make itself a whole pan India party was making Sena uneasy.
This relationship of a National and Regional party was in contrast with relationship of Congress and regional parties, where in for rule at the center, congress allowed regional parties to grow ( or to say when after Indira Gandhi , there were no regional leaders left in Congress, regional parties including ex -congress man grew in states) and also to indulge in corrupt practices. At one point of time , DMK fought all assembly seats and congress fought loksabha elections.
( At one place some time back/ before , I had written siding with BJP regional parties are stacking their own existence, while with congress it is reverse ie Congress took high wrong risk and wiped out itself in many states).
One more difference is , congress and its proxy regional parties , all are/ were dynastic parties and common goal was to protect own family interest.But BJP is cadre based party and opposed to dynastic rule, this is one more reason for split in BJP-Shiv Sena.
{ One interesting observation - how, when and why congress moved away from mass movement and non-dynastic mode of pre-independence period to arm-chair , dynastic political party that led to its decline is a subject of political research, but I think
When you (organisation) do not have money and power it tends to be non-dynastic and democratic, but once you have money and power dynastic ( or at least in case of BJP authoritarian ) tendency sets in, (specially in Indian feudal system). If this is true, down the history line 50 years hence BJP may become dynastic party. Already many a second rung leader has come up showing this tendency. Examples are Mahajan, Munde and Sinhas.}.
Now about Congress-NCP split.
Reason for this break up can be said to be same or different. NCP was demanding more from weak congress, Pawar was not ready to work with/ under Rahul. Rahul was not ready to allow slip Maharadtra, the way UP Bihar slipped away from the congress fold. Further,for free image , congress wanted to get rid of NCP and so on.
Ultimately in politics and also in real life there is no permanent friends or enemy.
Every Relationship ( like medicine) has expiry date, and it is useless and some time dangerous to use/ continue beyond that date.
Whose gamble has paid off will be known only on 19th October. Now all focus is on Post Poll alliance.
Prakash 28.09/2014
Post Script:
As I said above now BJP is planning to undermine SAD party and spread wing in Punjab ( and other states also where it not in power). In Punjab it is taking issue of drug addiction to spoil image of SAD and its leaders. Even PM has taken up this issue in his Man Ki Bat.
9/01/15
Selective Pages from Diary 2014- NDA Government is 3 months old.
Post Scrip:
Ultimately Govt has decided to take ordinance route and ultimately, if need be joint session of both houses to push its economic agenda.
5/1/2015
Monday, January 5, 2015
Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Election Results.
Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Parliament Election 2014.
Selective Pages from Diary 2014- Arvind Kejriwal and Dehli Election.
Saturday, October 22, 2011
Anna Hazare
First, this is the first movement in free India that has no demand of its own interest group that is clashing with establishment. It has, so far declared that it has no intention to topple the estblishment or get hold of establishment.
So far all movements were like lower entity demanding some thing from bigger entity. But Anna Hazare is saying we (people ) are supreme and Parliament or elected member being our agent must fulfill our order or wishes. It is challanging supremacy of Parliament. This is new concept and have far reaching cosequences.
Another uniqueness is that tactically or intellectully Anna's team seems to be more competent then Manmohan's team. Reason may be due to structural differences of two teams and role they have to play. Team Anna can /could demand and say anything but in response team Manmohan had to respond keeping in mind all provisions of constitution (and more so demand of vested interst groups).
Whether he is right or their demand that only his Janlokpal Bill ,as it is , be passed in Parliament are just or not are debatable. But this has to be seen or judged in the context that, we are asking politiation as a group to commit sucide (to do some thing that is against their own vested interest) and so their delaying and diluting techniques. How far Anna will suceed ?. Only future can tell.
Can movement of Anna sustain momentum ?. It is big question. It require fund and mass support. To do this, how many honest person are available and willing to contrubute their time and money.
But one thing clear Anna has high risk taking capacity. Without entering in to election poltics his team , to some extent has affected election in Hissar. It has hit hard the political Party where it hurts most, defeat in election.
As over the years Indian Politics has shifted from caste and religion plolitics to development politics. If Anna's movement can show that clean politics is possible then it can be said Anna succeesed where Mahatama Gandhi failed.
Last but not the least how far, absence of Sonia Gandhi (at critical juncture) contrubuted to success of Movement. Can not say but there was clear lack of direction in Govt team. Further it exposed Rahul Gandhi , and established that he is still not capable of shuoldering higher responsibility.
Standing Committee report is out. As expected, team Anna is not satisfied and threatened to restart agitation including fast by Anna.
There could be many justification for not accepting team Annas's Jan Lokpal Bill, but making it Constitutional Body ( I am not going in to merit of suggestion) at the mere suggestion made by Rahul Gandhi, proves my point that we are having fuedal democracy.
Similarly, not giving investigation power to Lokpal makes it very weak and shows vested interest of all politician. As regards C AND D GRADE employee (some one claims after 6th pay commission there are no D CLASS employees), team anna and govt. both have their own strong and valid point. (Team anna -to have effect on common man they must be included. Govt-it will need big machinery).
However, with lokpal being made constitutional body, the model of Election Commission can be adopted( its own core team is very small, but for election purpose all buerocracy works under it and its direction are supreme) and for corruption related issues it's directive must be final ( and so burden of courts regarding corruption be reduced).
Let us see how things unfolds.
But one thing sure Manmohan singh is losing out a opportunity to become a histoirical statesman.Similarly, most of politiation/ parties, instead of further reaching out to people (not restricted to team Anna) to market their own idea of Lokpal, basking in the ego of being elected representatives and knows all attitude. This can be termed as "Democratic Tanashai". Team anna is challanging this attitude also and wants consulatation in between election also. How to ensure this in a contry of billion peopple is a billion dollar question.
Now almost one year is over of Anna's movement. While in the beginning congress and whole political class seems to be unprepared to face Team Anna, over a period all politician came together in self interest and prepared proper defense against Anna's onslaught.
So, this time no one cared for anna's fast and it had to be broken without any promise from govt. or political class. Surely they decided to form a political party.
I my self doubt its success in a country of over a billion people ( There is no previous history of successful political party by non political person/ group). Even if it is able to change functioning of other political parties-internal democracy, fund collection and candidate selection - by competitive or demonstrative effect it would have proved its utility for Indian democracy.
For candidate selection, it can adopt american model of deciding candidate by political parties.
29/09/12.
As apprehended, and like earlier occasion Anna's movement broke in to different part, each group having its own agenda/ vision. In fact all factions had come together with intent to gain for themselves in the process. But they could not stick together as fruits of movement were not coming/ visible. Elsewhere/ earlier I had written, we can not expect this movement to bring sudden change but has to move forward like our independent struggle. This phase may seen as 1857 revolt or division of congress in Naram /garam group.
Ultimately it must be remembered any system - good /bad - is in equilibrium stage of different stake holders of society. If you want to change that equilibrium, you need sufficient force to get new equilibrium. Same is true for corrupt society and corrupt free society.
Anna or/and kejriwal has to generate sufficient force to find new equilibrium.
Whether they succeed further or not only history will tell, but their contribution in making Indian polity from feudal to democratic will always be remembered.
Corruption is small problem (by product) compared to feudal mind setup, where Rahul Gandhi seems to be heir apparent in congress and in absence of such feudal set up BJP is not able to decide its future leader.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Fuedal Democracy and State being agregate of Socity
(Presently we care much about rules, regulation and expectation of our own clan/ group rather than rules regulation and expectation of state).
Situation in this regard is so bad that any body doing there ordinary duty is given medals.
There is also comparison of our system with USA's. Latest being, regarding USA's commitment after 9/11 terrorist attack and its success in not allowing second attack in last 10 years. Killing Bin Laden and so on. Compare it with our dismal record. This is not the first time, USA has resolved some thing and achieved it. Way back in sixties when USSR went ahead of USA in putting man in space, USA resolved to land man on Moon ahead of USSR and fulfilled that commitment Against this, very few may be remembering Indian Parliaments's resolve to get back every inch of land from China that remained unfulfilled for last 50 years.
This difference is due to the way India and USA are created. India as a Nation/ democracy was created as super imposition on feudal society. For India, democracy and nation are new concept, and are yet to take firm roots. Against this, those who created USA had no baggage of 3000-4000 year history, and it is aggregate of people are those who had left their roots in achieving their own dreams.
We can write a book, on what we meant by feudal system. But here it is sufficient to identify it as having two distinct class of ruled and ruler class. Ruler class has one mentality and ruled class has another one.
So, so far whatever movement/ protest were held in India, they were essentially a demand from ruled class to ruler class. They never challenged the position of ruler class.
And in this aspect, Anna Hazare's movement is departure from past, where in it was emphasised that in democracy ruler in fact is agent of ruled class. Principal is ruled class.
If this perception percolated in masses there will be real change and that will be real democracy.
In another aspect also this movement was/ is unique, so far all protest movement were/ are being held to preserve / strengthen there own clan/ society's position visa-vis other group or nation. This is the first movement that was actually aimed at not getting any benefit for any single group but was aimed at eradicating something wrong with the nation.
This concept also if percolated in masses can change India. This will loosen the hold of clan/ society over individual's mind and allow them to serve and behave like a citizen of India rather than member of a group.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Nature's Horizontl and Circular Differentiation -Man's Vertical and Linear Enequality
Important thing is that, Nature does not follow rule of similarity. Yet, in its scheme of differentiation nothing is more important and nothing is frivolous. No system is follower and no one is leader. Nothing is big and nothing is small. Every one is dependent on another and every thing is interdependent. Arrangement is horizontal and circular.
Sunday, April 25, 2010
From the end of Book Cover.
This explains why Gandhi , a true orientalist was succeeded by Neharu a Westernised by any standard.
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Communication.
Fame of communication depends on its effectiveness on target rather than its intrinsic truth fullness. In this sense "Geeta" had (has) a objective to prepare Arjuna (common man) for War(life).What is said in Geeta may or may not be true, but its greatness rest on the fact that it changed the mind of Arjuna and effectively changes mind of many many of modern Arjuna. The same can be said about advice of parent to children, scolding of superior to junior and astrologer's predictions. Stated word need not be true but they intend to have desired effect.
If we wish to observe how the communication is based on targeted group, just read the Mumbai News papers in Marathi, Hindi and English, there comments on marathi/ non-marathi issue is meant for there own readers and obviously different. In Mumbai no one dare say that how is that Mumbikar going to USA help built economy there, but Bihari coming to Mumbai destroys Mumbai, as there is no audience for this communication / logic in city. In this sence even celebrities comments are also based on there own target group. The marathi celebrities, which are not dependent on marathi population for their greatness/fame, speak in favour of Mumbai for all. These are Sachin Tendulakar, Asha Bhosle etc. In sixties and seventies, our leaders while addressing Indian population used to tell control population and said development will follow. The same leaders while seeking development assistance at international forum used to say, please donate and help, development will control population. The different position taken by experts ( coming from urban-middle class and addressing their own group) in TV talks on LPG subsidy as against fertilizer subsidy is worth watching.
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
world is in danger.
However, I do not belittle the sincerity of the people who care about this country or planet. Nor I do underestimate the message for improvement given by all stakeholders, be it, parents, schools, newspaper, TV, Govt, NGO and so on to save earth.
But taking them seriously can harm your own life and can take away joy out of your life. First thing we should remember, whatever prophets of doom are saying, they are saying for so many centuries and always do not prove correct. In fact no body can predict future of a country or society beyond 5 years. For example, my generation took population explosion seriously and limited family to one child, depriving the child of natural company. And down 30 years, we are hearing population dividend for India.
So, what is happening today will change tomorrow, and new things will come in to being, not only because of science but because of changing perceptions, laws, religion, politics and economics etc.
The fact is that continents and kingdoms might have prospered and perished but the history of human being is a smooth history of progress, starting from discovery of fire and wheel to present day space missions. Every generation has faced problems and solved them in their own way. Today, we may complain about shortage of food but copmare it with famines of ninteenth century. Further we may see enequality among different groups but, slave system is no more. Such examples of progress in every walk of life is many many.
Lastly, and most important , as compared to life of nation and society, our own life is very-very short,(and every phase of life comes only once) and for world's imagined problem/ danger or real problems, for which solutions will emerge in course of time , do not waste your life or destroy joy.
Be Happy, Live your life, Act responsibly but do not worry.