With BJP Mast ( Self overjoyed, Ruttiest), Congress Sust (Sluggish, Sickly or Weary) and AAP Yvast ( Busy, active) the result of Dehli Election was a fore gone conclusion.
As I said earlier whatever be the result AAP had scored moral victory which ultimately tuned out to be political victory.
Some where I have said, with the way BJP is undergoing under Modi, BJP is going the way Congress had gone under Indira Gandhi and will suffer in long run.
Unfortunately I never imagined downfall will be so swift and so quick.This down fall started the day , overriding the constitution/ precedence, BJP made party President and PM from the same state. Then for a single person ( first) ordinance was brought in. With this, BJP/Modi's self righteousness started in full speed and last in series was amendment to land acquisition bill.
But what BJP did or did wrong is not the subject matter and reason for AAP's victory. The architect of AAP's victory is Congress or complete collapse of Congress. Where BJP failed and AAP succeeded is occupying the space vacated by Congress.
AAP's path to victory was ensured the day it forced unwilling BJP to have election by keeping its own MLA united ( BJP wanted to have defection and power without election). Result was further confirmed when battle was made Kejriwal v/s Bedi. The way comparison was made between Rahul and Modi in parliament election, the same comparison was made between Bedi and Kejriwal and later was preferred. Ultimately there is no substitute for self hard work.
What is the ripple effect of this development ?. Immediate effect will be on J&K government formation, where now PDP will hard negotiate with BJP or may go with Congress and NC. Next effect is on Bihar Politics, in aftermath of Delhi result BJP will rework/ rethink its strategy to support Manjhi. ( What a social development over 20-25 years. Earlier Lalu Nithesh fought battle of Dalit -Sawarn, over a period now it is between Dalit and Maha dalit).
Now, all Modi/ BJP's allies will be more critical/ vocal to speak their mind. Whosoever is hurt by BJP/ Modi attitude over last nine month is showing happiness and first in line is Shiv Sena, next is Akali Dal. Other group is of opponent of Modi/ BJP's, and where elections are due- Bihar, West Bengal and UP.Regional leaders of state Nitish, Mamata and Akhilesh Yadav are praising AAP and expressing willingness to have alliance etc.
This result will also have adverse effect on effectiveness of Modi's many initiative -domestic and international including Make in India. Already Pakistan and China media has shown happiness over the results.
And here is litmus test for AAP also. Not to have temptation to spread wing by alliance etc. Its leaders have shown dislike for anti BJP/ Congress front and preferred to have different type of politics. They hope to have organic growth and may next test their strength in Bangalore Municipal Elections. Ultimate test is to stand by there own ideology/ commitment. Else history has seen many land slide victories like 1977 (Janata), 1984( Rajiv) and 1989 (VP Singh) without leaving lasting effect on political space. Its contribution will not be measured by its victory in elections but its success in reforming electoral politics.
Can AAP take space left by Congress. Not in near future. Whether it will grow nation wide depends on fate of congress. If congress, rejuvenate AAP has no future. AAP leaders are also aware of it and so does not see BJP as opponent. They realize, that they can not take away BJP's vote bank, there whole energy to occupy rest of space and that is of Congress or Congress ideology.
Indian politics has entered an interesting phase,on one hand if BJP outreaches other constituents of society its core supporter are unhappy. But that space/ constituents is almost 65 % of total population ( That is hope of India and Indian Democracy). Who grabs it- BJP, Congress or new parties like AAP is real thing to watch.
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